PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4da1dc377e931f32aad47bfa04bad588a03274fe

Realised P&L
$-6.97
Volume
$201.60
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$4.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? · No0.8000.935$2.34+$0.34
Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20? · Yes0.3000.295$1.97$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 00:48Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 14-September 20?BUY0.299999985$2.00
09-16 04:09Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.8$2.00
09-12 17:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-12 08:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$2.00
09-07 07:54Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.68$2.00
09-04 00:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?BUY0.64$2.00
09-01 01:07Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $177 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
09-01 01:04Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-30 03:59Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-29 19:52Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?BUY0.479999952$2.00
08-25 21:02Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
08-22 22:34Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 17-August 23?BUY0.6099999786$2.00
08-22 14:08Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?BUY0.389999839$1.26
08-19 14:54Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
08-19 06:37Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.5499999725$2.00