0x4d9f1C88947C20Aa112f019d8aAf0F11bC4C39f9-1779813876553
0x4d9f1c88947c20aa112f019d8aaf0f11bc4c39f9
- Realised P&L
- $259.41
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 630
- Open portfolio
- $39.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded630
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 14?
- +$37.99at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 3?
- +$37.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16?
- +$37.96at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15?
- +$37.95at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 16:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.994 | $39.75 |
| 09-17 15:43 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 09-17 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.99 | $39.60 |
| 09-16 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.979665 | $39.19 |
| 09-16 13:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-15 13:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 15? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 09-14 14:35 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 14? | SELL | 0.99277775 | $39.71 |
| 09-11 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 11? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 09-10 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.98 | $39.20 |
| 09-06 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6? | SELL | 0.875 | $35.00 |
| 08-29 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.995 | $39.80 |
| 08-26 19:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on August 26? | SELL | 0.996 | $39.84 |
| 08-20 16:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 20? | SELL | 0.998 | $39.92 |
| 08-18 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 18? | SELL | 0.994 | $14.57 |
| 08-16 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16? | SELL | 0.99675 | $39.87 |