PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x4d9E288591F8694bC4F1c8c65D5D742450220841-1771002237199

0x4d9e288591f8694bc4f1c8c65d5d742450220841

Realised P&L
$-183.72
Volume
$14.7k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$3.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? · Yes0.0380.003$3.89$46.11
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? · Yes0.5120.000$0.00$200.00
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30? · Yes0.5020.000$0.00$125.00
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.0840.000$0.00$33.00
Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$105.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 13:55Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?SELL0.7199949883$153.72
05-16 13:47Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?BUY0.3213616886$20.00
04-11 08:00Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.5125216628$200.00
04-10 20:47Will 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day April 8–12?BUY0.3144406886$25.00
04-10 20:41Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.0915927785$10.00
04-10 19:35Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?BUY0.3248268732$100.00
04-10 19:35Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?BUY0.0336598391$40.00
04-05 21:26US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.003$18.00
04-05 21:02Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?SELL0.0014899109$0.49
04-05 20:51Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?BUY0.0599965738$50.00
04-05 20:50Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.5399999974$37.00
04-05 20:42Will SpaceX list on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or NYSE?BUY0.0379400917$60.00
04-05 18:55Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0835868379$33.00
04-05 18:54Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.5189171644$99.92
04-05 15:03US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.002$2.00