0x4d9d9ebC434c0567DB7756fbdda0be624E4607Cb-1780137410971
0x4d9d9ebc434c0567db7756fbdda0be624e4607cb
- Realised P&L
- $144.45
- Volume
- $797.52
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $48.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar18.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 - Map 1 Winner · FUT Esports | 0.512 | 0.495 | $48.29 | −$1.71 |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.32at 0.498Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
- +$37.83at 0.516Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$20.82at 0.595Games Total: O/U 2.5
- +$19.35at 0.612Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D
- +$15.36at 0.519Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 19:09 | Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5125172445 | $50.00 |
| 10-03 14:13 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 10-03 13:59 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 13:24 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $78.27 |
| 10-03 13:23 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $92.47 |
| 10-03 12:27 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.4786378828 | $28.99 |
| 10-03 12:26 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $29.59 |
| 10-03 11:41 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $16.00 |
| 10-03 11:39 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.57 | $16.88 |
| 10-03 11:32 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5036186133 | $39.46 |
| 10-03 11:31 | Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5064900196 | $30.00 |
| 10-03 10:01 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5831960457 | $30.00 |
| 06-11 22:35 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | SELL | 0.999 | $28.95 |
| 06-07 05:12 | Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999489 | $3.00 |
| 06-07 05:11 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |