PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4d9d9ebC434c0567DB7756fbdda0be624E4607Cb-1780137410971

0x4d9d9ebc434c0567db7756fbdda0be624e4607cb

Realised P&L
$144.45
Volume
$797.52
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$48.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar18.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 - Map 1 Winner · FUT Esports0.5120.495$48.29−$1.71
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$3.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 19:09Valorant: FUT Esports vs T1 - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.5125172445$50.00
10-03 14:13Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DSELL0.999$49.95
10-03 13:59Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group DBUY0.6$30.00
10-03 13:24Games Total: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$78.27
10-03 13:23Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerSELL0.999$92.47
10-03 12:27Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.4786378828$28.99
10-03 12:26Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.999$29.59
10-03 11:41Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.5$16.00
10-03 11:39Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerSELL0.57$16.88
10-03 11:32Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.5036186133$39.46
10-03 11:31Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.5064900196$30.00
10-03 10:01Games Total: O/U 2.5BUY0.5831960457$30.00
06-11 22:35Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?SELL0.999$28.95
06-07 05:12Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?BUY0.2099999489$3.00
06-07 05:11Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999952$20.00