0x4d9d8eA40352E7F49B8B28dBD9e8E279Fd087c34-1781718847423
0x4d9d8ea40352e7f49b8b28dbd9e8e279fd087c34
- Realised P&L
- $-10.07
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.03at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 17?
- +$6.81at 0.428Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 13?
- +$5.64at 0.422Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24?
- +$5.07at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 25?
- +$3.20at 0.392Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.55 | $1.19 |
| 09-28 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.396039604 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.9 | $2.43 |
| 09-26 16:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $2.00 |
| 09-25 16:41 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $2.00 |
| 09-24 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $4.00 |
| 09-24 03:35 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-20 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3317073041 | $2.00 |
| 09-20 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $2.00 |