PolyBot

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Traders

0x4d9d8eA40352E7F49B8B28dBD9e8E279Fd087c34-1781718847423

0x4d9d8ea40352e7f49b8b28dbd9e8e279fd087c34

Realised P&L
$-10.07
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$0.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 17:06Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28?SELL0.55$1.19
09-28 13:42Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 28?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
09-28 13:42Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.16$1.00
09-27 13:51Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 27?BUY0.396039604$5.00
09-26 17:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?SELL0.9$2.43
09-26 16:18Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 26?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-25 16:41Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 25?BUY0.469999906$2.00
09-25 16:41Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 25?BUY0.2799999664$2.00
09-24 03:36Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 24?BUY0.4099999816$4.00
09-24 03:35Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 24?BUY0.4099999984$5.00
09-20 15:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20?SELL0.002$0.03
09-20 15:17Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20?SELL0.002$0.01
09-20 15:07Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on September 20?BUY0.3317073041$2.00
09-20 05:03Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-20 05:03Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on September 20?BUY0.1499999925$2.00