0xCF3983C08Ed336f71f1E69c964b0031516a43E02-1766273280854
0x4d95d9fe4cbcf533d3e8445b63e67d6f013dc69a
- Realised P&L
- $-4.18
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $53.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration76.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.025 | $31.44 | +$1.44 |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.114 | $17.78 | −$7.22 |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.469 | 0.403 | $4.29 | −$0.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.08at 0.757US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
- +$0.42at 0.960Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?
- +$0.18at 0.978Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?
- +$0.05at 0.991Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
- +$-0.03at 0.723Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-25 22:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | SELL | 0.9 | $33.51 |
| 10-25 22:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $9.88 |
| 10-25 17:42 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0242270183 | $10.00 |
| 10-25 14:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $35.00 |
| 10-20 17:24 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0256041147 | $5.00 |
| 10-19 18:07 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 19:37 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.0293500719 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 19:12 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? | SELL | 0.996 | $10.18 |
| 10-18 16:52 | Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.022 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 16:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 10-18 15:52 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.00 |
| 10-17 22:18 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4689999917 | $5.00 |
| 10-17 22:09 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | BUY | 0.1589999994 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 22:08 | Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.841 | $9.98 |