minwu
0x4d9544d3e55ea55e605710f2c197ea59125dba23
- Realised P&L
- $2.30
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $133.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.685 | $133.71 | −$36.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.40at 0.820GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$2.20at 0.940Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 16?
- +$1.34at 0.820MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$-0.06at 0.150Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
- +$-4.46at 0.680Will Solana reach $250 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-16 03:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 16? | BUY | 0.94 | $37.98 |
| 02-08 14:47 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8199999988 | $110.00 |
| 10-12 08:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October? | BUY | 0.1500789177 | $104.00 |
| 10-03 13:40 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | SELL | 0.65 | $96.54 |
| 10-03 13:38 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.68 | $100.99 |