0x4d944b6df3a90fe63dd93c66d5cf3717e1fe7cf7
0x4d944b6df3a90fe63dd93c66d5cf3717e1fe7cf7
- Realised P&L
- $-88.45
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $52.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.115 | $14.38 | +$4.38 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.420 | 0.998 | $11.87 | +$6.87 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.172 | 0.261 | $7.59 | +$2.59 |
| Bills vs. Rams · Bills | 0.390 | 0.385 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Rams Team Total: O/U 27.5 · Over | 0.594 | 0.575 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Bills Team Total: O/U 26.5 · Over | 0.495 | 0.475 | $4.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.125 | $4.17 | −$0.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.42at 0.180Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.03at 0.370US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
- +$11.62at 0.310Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?
- +$7.24at 0.580Flyers vs. Sabres
- +$6.50at 0.022Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:02 | Rams Team Total: O/U 27.5 | BUY | 0.5940593824 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 06:01 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.3899999945 | $5.00 |
| 10-10 06:01 | Bills Team Total: O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.495049505 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:25 | Colts vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 15:23 | Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.1719999967 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:35 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:35 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.4699999887 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:31 | Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 07:31 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 08:00 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1809999729 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 18:18 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:44 | Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0537848509 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:43 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1043322559 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:43 | Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1049999826 | $5.00 |
| 06-02 21:43 | Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1179999802 | $5.00 |