seanbermo
0x4d9198919989ca3c802f2ca8a6a6b1ffb0e9ac49
- Realised P&L
- $-292.82
- Volume
- $31.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,271
- Open portfolio
- $170.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,271
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.555 | $29.52 | +$4.52 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.468 | 0.595 | $25.43 | +$5.43 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.340 | 0.405 | $23.82 | +$3.82 |
| The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit · Sunrisers Leeds | 0.515 | 0.520 | $19.99 | +$0.19 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs · Chicago Cubs | 0.504 | 0.540 | $18.38 | +$1.23 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · Atlanta Braves | 0.550 | 0.545 | $13.50 | −$0.12 |
| Plovdiv 2: Jack Loge vs Franco Agamenone · Franco Agamenone | 0.610 | 0.605 | $10.55 | −$0.09 |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts · Viktor Durasovic | 0.540 | 0.555 | $7.83 | +$0.21 |
| National Bank Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Kyrian Jacquet · Kyrian Jacquet | 0.450 | 0.485 | $6.55 | +$0.47 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · St. Louis Cardinals | 0.480 | 0.430 | $5.24 | −$0.61 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.520 | 0.570 | $3.17 | +$0.28 |
| Hagen: Alex Molcan vs Chun-Hsin Tseng · Alex Molcan | 0.750 | 0.765 | $3.03 | +$0.06 |
| San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants | 0.430 | 0.455 | $2.27 | +$0.13 |
| Will Paris FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.150 | $1.44 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.89at 0.385Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$70.09at 0.416Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$56.14at 0.348Minnesota Twins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$44.03at 0.390Washington Nationals vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$43.17at 0.410Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 20:44 | The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit | BUY | 0.515098755 | $19.80 |
| 08-03 20:39 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Viktor Durasovic vs Michael Geerts | BUY | 0.5399999717 | $7.62 |
| 08-03 19:02 | National Bank Open: Emerson Jones vs Lanlana Tararudee | BUY | 0.3399999687 | $4.56 |
| 08-03 15:58 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.4499999761 | $2.83 |
| 08-03 10:41 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.4 | $1.18 |
| 08-03 09:46 | ECS England: Upminster vs Markhor London | BUY | 0.6199999791 | $8.30 |
| 08-03 08:52 | ECS England: Upminster vs Markhor London | BUY | 0.3899999629 | $3.05 |
| 08-03 08:49 | ECS England: Upminster vs Markhor London | BUY | 0.36 | $1.83 |
| 08-03 07:28 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Tomasz Berkieta vs Facundo Mena | BUY | 0.58 | $0.28 |
| 08-03 02:36 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.6 | $19.53 |
| 08-03 02:34 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.4099999818 | $12.59 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Plovdiv 2: Jack Loge vs Franco Agamenone | BUY | 0.6099999885 | $10.64 |
| 08-02 19:32 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.4299998737 | $1.60 |
| 08-02 19:16 | The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave | BUY | 0.4199998353 | $1.02 |
| 08-02 16:49 | Will FK Partizan Belgrade win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.5099999742 | $4.75 |