PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoLiu

0x4d8a31c1bbe22eeb1e3d296170371202c6042953

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$2.17M
Markets traded
477
Open portfolio
$163.89

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded477
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration96.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1300.105$157.50−$37.50
Valantis FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.8000.300$5.76−$9.61
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.2200.062$0.62−$1.59
Will Kael Penta in LPL Split 3 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$26.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 23:58Will there be no Hormuz agreement?BUY0.11975992$301.81
10-11 04:07Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?SELL0.99$1.5k
10-10 18:18Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?SELL0.66$3.30
10-10 17:59Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 12?BUY0.67$3.35
08-24 11:47Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.1433777721$61.48
08-24 11:46Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?BUY0.1329848391$307.09
08-21 16:54Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?SELL0.005$0.45
08-21 11:02Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?SELL0.007$0.08
08-07 15:14Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.24$24.95
08-07 03:51Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1018808779$171.05
08-07 03:51Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.1008082047$653.67
08-02 00:10Will Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.82$41.00
08-01 16:56Will Hope Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
08-01 16:56Will Shanks Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?BUY0.5$10.00
08-01 16:21Will Hope Penta in LPL Split 3 2026?BUY0.5$10.00