PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

davidboyd

0x4d7be6fa0ba01c78f715435473627f35e0da1479

Realised P&L
$-27.21
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$45.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration59.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin have 163 or more seats after the 2026 election? · Yes0.7600.515$25.64$12.20
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18? · No0.9300.795$19.86$3.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 14:24Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January?BUY0.998$5.23
01-31 13:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January?BUY0.9989999913$19.81
01-30 14:44Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.997999921$11.50
01-30 13:26Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.998$51.69
01-30 13:07Will XRP dip to $1.20 in January?BUY0.9979999879$41.79
12-30 17:17Will Trump pardon Roger Stone in 2025?BUY0.999$7.37
12-30 10:11Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.999$12.04
12-30 01:34Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.999$23.76
12-30 01:07Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$18.63
12-29 23:33Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.9989999748$35.08
12-29 18:54Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?BUY0.999$31.55
10-30 19:10Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$32.44
10-30 18:43Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$38.22
10-30 18:18Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.9539999997$34.24
09-29 17:01Will Ethereum reach $5000 in September?BUY0.999$15.04