0x4d7b00ea753ecfa687884c32ea19d628d4429bca
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $21.5k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $22.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.703 | 0.064 | $22.34 | −$224.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$495.01at 0.613Will France win on 2026-06-26?
- +$67.73at 0.921Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?
- +$32.06at 0.092Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27?
- +$-9.22at 0.104Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?
- +$-9.91at 0.155Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-05 16:45 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5499999998 | $1.2k |
| 07-04 17:07 | Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $194.77 |
| 07-01 01:05 | Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.2399999996 | $332.11 |
| 06-30 21:25 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.089999999 | $72.25 |
| 06-30 18:36 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | SELL | 0.1726729034 | $77.52 |
| 06-30 17:59 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.1099999991 | $98.77 |
| 06-27 23:23 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5399999999 | $968.81 |
| 06-27 23:19 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 06-27 22:46 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $914.11 |
| 06-27 22:45 | Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? | SELL | 0.08 | $25.81 |
| 06-27 22:38 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | SELL | 0.11 | $248.42 |
| 06-27 22:33 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.118999998 | $50.00 |
| 06-27 22:33 | Will Panama vs. England end in a draw? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.47 |
| 06-27 21:42 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.04 | $50.00 |
| 06-27 21:40 | Croatia vs. Ghana: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.06 | $9.23 |