PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bumiko

0x4d7a4dc3ac271580adf737ed557cfa3ec42de80e

Realised P&L
$-3.19
Volume
$4.2k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$22.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9360.967$10.33+$0.33
Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9480.923$9.74−$0.26
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.7100.905$2.55+$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-05 09:44Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?SELL0.998$349.30
11-05 03:47Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.71$2.00
11-05 03:46Will Charlie Hook win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?BUY0.999$352.70
11-05 03:46Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?SELL0.998$322.69
11-05 03:45Will Igor Kurganov win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?BUY0.999$324.60
11-05 03:44Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026?BUY0.936$10.00
11-05 03:44Will the Republicans win the Alabama governor race in 2026?BUY0.9483513231$10.00
11-05 03:42US national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?SELL0.968$2.25
11-05 03:42US national Ethereum reserve in 2025?SELL0.965$1.60
11-05 03:42US recession in 2025?SELL0.954$1.46
11-05 03:41US national Solana reserve in 2025?SELL0.962$1.24
11-05 03:41US national XRP reserve in 2025?SELL0.961$1.24
11-05 03:41Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?SELL0.951$1.01
06-15 03:57Senate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
06-15 03:57Will 3+ Trump cabinet picks fail to get appointed?BUY0.979999657$2.00