OrYn64
0x4d76fd2818d8655235e273028504c80dad9cd7a0
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $174.9k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.182Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?
- +$2.1kat 0.073Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
- +$600.00at 0.520Ethereum flipped in 2026?
- +$492.94at 0.687Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $710b on March 31?
- +$428.50at 0.609Mexican Open: Damir Dzumhur vs Gael Monfils
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 14:43 | Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.016 | $192.40 |
| 10-14 18:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.7 | $350.00 |
| 10-11 20:23 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4198524752 | $424.05 |
| 10-11 09:25 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 10-11 09:25 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 10-11 09:25 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $360.00 |
| 10-11 09:23 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.45 | $225.00 |
| 10-11 09:19 | Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.39 | $33.65 |
| 10-08 21:51 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz | BUY | 0.64 | $320.00 |
| 10-07 16:32 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.6898418898 | $921.91 |
| 10-07 06:34 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6131182724 | $184.55 |
| 10-05 20:24 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.18 | $180.00 |
| 10-02 10:08 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $200.00 |
| 09-27 19:20 | Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.6065031515 | $265.58 |
| 09-27 14:11 | Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.4 | $36.40 |