chilloutTt
0x4d70984ff9a047d283888fceb207df3e76782698
- Realised P&L
- $-23.3k
- Volume
- $1.81M
- Markets traded
- 302
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded302
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.5kat 0.345Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?
- +$11.4kat 0.200Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin April 1-7?
- +$5.8kat 0.420Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin May 20-26?
- +$5.7kat 0.399XRP above $2.10 on June 27?
- +$4.1kat 0.558XRP Up or Down on June 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:43 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.996392141 | $10.0k |
| 08-02 17:39 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.9974573974 | $17.1k |
| 08-02 17:23 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $560.00 |
| 08-02 03:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | SELL | 0.997 | $560.10 |
| 08-01 19:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.5899999989 | $193.00 |
| 08-01 18:54 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 18:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 15:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 14:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? | BUY | 0.8899999993 | $500.00 |
| 07-30 13:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $106.21 |
| 07-30 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.499001996 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 13:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | SELL | 0.4321201795 | $183.88 |
| 07-30 13:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-30 13:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | SELL | 0.2710224115 | $256.49 |