PolyBot

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Traders

chilloutTt

0x4d70984ff9a047d283888fceb207df3e76782698

Realised P&L
$-29.4k
Volume
$1.95M
Markets traded
327
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded327
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9? · Up0.5560.675$2.4k+$422.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$44.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.5230.000$0.00−$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$20.00
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? · No0.3760.000$0.00−$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00−$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.5500.000$0.00−$13.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 18:43Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.6301760594$1.0k
10-08 16:04Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.4936184751$168.32
10-08 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.490467706$220.22
10-08 16:03Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.500431745$500.00
10-08 16:00Bitcoin Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.48$79.68
09-29 10:20Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?SELL0.87$109.62
09-29 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?SELL0.9$294.30
09-29 10:17Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?SELL0.9$18.00
09-28 15:59Bitcoin Up or Down on September 29?BUY0.51$241.23
09-16 18:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.999$1.1k
09-16 13:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.89$1000.00
09-11 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETSELL0.0729091766$131.45
09-11 12:09Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.4$243.90
09-11 11:59Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ETBUY0.539113451$1.0k
09-11 11:52Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4099999997$250.00