PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

chilloutTt

0x4d70984ff9a047d283888fceb207df3e76782698

Realised P&L
$-23.3k
Volume
$1.81M
Markets traded
302
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded302
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.9970.998$7.7k+$0.45
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes0.5990.981$1.1k+$441.49
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$44.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET · Up0.5230.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00$20.00
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? · No0.3760.000$0.00$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.1300.000$0.00$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET · Up0.4900.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Up0.8600.000$0.00$8.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:43Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.996392141$10.0k
08-02 17:39Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.9974573974$17.1k
08-02 17:23Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.997$560.00
08-02 03:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?SELL0.997$560.10
08-01 19:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.5899999989$193.00
08-01 18:54Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.5699999991$200.00
08-01 18:51Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.5699999991$100.00
08-01 15:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.66$100.00
08-01 15:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.66$100.00
08-01 14:45Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.8899999993$500.00
07-30 13:46Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETSELL0.53$106.21
07-30 13:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETBUY0.499001996$100.00
07-30 13:41Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSELL0.4321201795$183.88
07-30 13:40Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.4699999997$200.00
07-30 13:36Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSELL0.2710224115$256.49