0x4d6c0867a1d69ea8b483302e817ace70b96cf76b
- Realised P&L
- $-144.81
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $96.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.380 | 0.375 | $48.08 | −$0.64 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels · Seattle Mariners | 0.380 | 0.385 | $47.38 | +$0.62 |
| Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen · Janice Tjen | 0.440 | 0.575 | $1.03 | +$0.24 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$186.79 |
| Nicolás Paz: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.075 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.12 |
| Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe · Lorenzo Musetti | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.75 |
| Set Handicap: Medvedev (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5) · Medvedev | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.46 |
| Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5) · Tsitsipas | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
| Julián Álvarez: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.23 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Atlanta Braves | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.51 |
| Ben Shelton vs. Denis Shapovalov: Total Sets O/U 3.5 · Under 3.5 | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.27 |
| US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien · Jakub Mensik | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.69 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.68 |
| US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Denis Shapovalov · Denis Shapovalov | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.39 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$212.41at 0.637Mallorca Championships: Grigor Dimitrov vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
- +$188.90at 0.567Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
- +$145.71at 0.617Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Nuno Borges
- +$131.03at 0.259Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs
- +$126.32at 0.280Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Flavio Cobolli
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:08 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.38 | $30.40 |
| 09-16 02:51 | Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $48.72 |
| 09-16 01:59 | Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) | BUY | 0.38 | $45.24 |
| 09-16 01:51 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.36 | $33.16 |
| 09-16 01:51 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.41 | $37.27 |
| 09-16 01:15 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.25 | $44.23 |
| 09-16 01:13 | Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) | BUY | 0.47 | $56.79 |
| 09-08 17:06 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.34 | $9.71 |
| 09-07 00:07 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.15 | $11.28 |
| 09-07 00:04 | Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5) | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-06 23:53 | US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | SELL | 0.1 | $16.96 |
| 09-06 22:15 | US Open ATP: Daniil Medvedev vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.26 | $22.62 |
| 09-06 22:14 | Michelsen vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 38.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $41.46 |
| 09-06 21:43 | Daniil Medvedev vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $13.50 |
| 09-06 21:35 | Michelsen vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 38.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $7.63 |