0x4D6Be805ffab4a0671e5072D00B9d0FcbFF7a7b4-1720382818078
0x4d6be805ffab4a0671e5072d00b9d0fcbff7a7b4
- Realised P&L
- $41.55
- Volume
- $38.3k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $271.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.80at 0.115MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$243.39at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?
- +$224.18at 0.601Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?
- +$191.98at 0.565Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$159.18at 0.570Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 14:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1903463384 | $63.86 |
| 08-01 06:43 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999862 | $13.28 |
| 07-29 17:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $14.46 |
| 07-28 20:50 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999988 | $120.68 |
| 07-01 21:07 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6? | BUY | 0.5465041584 | $29.39 |
| 06-26 17:38 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.6471277037 | $45.06 |
| 06-04 21:53 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | BUY | 0.3799999978 | $61.48 |
| 06-04 11:54 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? | BUY | 0.1411764571 | $8.00 |
| 06-04 06:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | BUY | 0.3699999947 | $36.00 |
| 06-04 06:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | BUY | 0.6099999966 | $60.00 |
| 06-04 06:04 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $12.00 |
| 06-02 06:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.0400977809 | $2.00 |
| 06-02 06:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? | BUY | 0.032 | $4.00 |
| 06-01 18:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999977 | $54.00 |
| 06-01 18:32 | Ebola pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.00 |