PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D6Be805ffab4a0671e5072D00B9d0FcbFF7a7b4-1720382818078

0x4d6be805ffab4a0671e5072d00b9d0fcbff7a7b4

Realised P&L
$41.55
Volume
$38.3k
Markets traded
108
Open portfolio
$271.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded108
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.125$76.88$212.18
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.4380.135$61.42$138.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5330.175$58.72$120.30
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3230.080$32.98$100.98
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? · Yes0.1550.055$13.29$24.31
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1020.038$12.92$21.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.055$8.84$36.16
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0820.025$6.80$15.20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$21.00
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$4.37
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner · KT Rolster0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? · Yes0.0780.000$0.00$3.51
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026? · No0.0370.000$0.00$1.66
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$9.00
Netanyahu out by June 30? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$7.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 14:53Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1903463384$63.86
08-01 06:43Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.2699999862$13.28
07-29 17:59Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.27$14.46
07-28 20:50Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.3299999988$120.68
07-01 21:07Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 30-July 6?BUY0.5465041584$29.39
06-26 17:38Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.6471277037$45.06
06-04 21:53Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?BUY0.3799999978$61.48
06-04 11:54Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?BUY0.1411764571$8.00
06-04 06:07Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?BUY0.3699999947$36.00
06-04 06:07Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?BUY0.6099999966$60.00
06-04 06:04Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$12.00
06-02 06:03Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?BUY0.0400977809$2.00
06-02 06:03Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June?BUY0.032$4.00
06-01 18:33Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5299999977$54.00
06-01 18:32Ebola pandemic in 2026?BUY0.08$4.00