pierogi-dispenser
0x4d6ac7a0de84b83787081ad26ba09d9cf069bfc9
- Realised P&L
- $5.93
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $167.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No | 0.947 | 0.875 | $48.10 | −$3.99 |
| Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.987 | 0.985 | $46.57 | −$0.12 |
| Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31? · No | 0.967 | 0.742 | $40.49 | −$12.28 |
| Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.987 | $32.55 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.35at 0.961Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$0.97at 0.979Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
- +$0.86at 0.962Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.984Will "Man on Fire" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$0.74at 0.982Will Darren Fletcher be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 11:43 | Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | BUY | 0.9869999996 | $22.27 |