0x4d5d3C9D0CAbb43101Fc08d57073ab49c1d9b081-1771805352304
0x4d5d3c9d0cabb43101fc08d57073ab49c1d9b081
- Realised P&L
- $-64.26
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $12.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.051 | $12.78 | −$7.22 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.45at 0.197Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
- +$-17.49at 0.095Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 18:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | BUY | 0.026 | $26.00 |
| 04-18 18:41 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $26.45 |
| 03-25 05:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 03-21 03:21 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? | BUY | 0.1965862793 | $20.00 |
| 03-20 22:11 | Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.0118981569 | $2.50 |
| 03-20 02:37 | Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.0797952136 | $20.00 |
| 03-20 02:35 | Will Conrad Ukropina win The Bachelorette Season 22? | BUY | 0.0949999961 | $20.00 |