0x4d5986e859CEB78ACA801197a2C330B2dfc53715-1791613885492
0x4d5986e859ceb78aca801197a2c330b2dfc53715
- Realised P&L
- $22.99
- Volume
- $423.07
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.215 | $14.53 | +$4.53 |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs · Spirit | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.16at 0.570Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?
- +$24.67at 0.462Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 17:32 | Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026? | BUY | 0.150999999 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 18:17 | Will Team Falcons Make a Roster Change by December 31? | BUY | 0.1479999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-11 18:13 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $79.63 |
| 10-11 06:26 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.6799999916 | $19.54 |
| 10-10 16:16 | Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-10 16:14 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.91 | $50.61 |
| 10-10 14:57 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.4499999937 | $25.03 |
| 10-10 06:43 | Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $24.98 |