PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DanielWiest

0x4d58ddf2a558c0da65dc1230c0627968538fa321

Realised P&L
$-94.81
Volume
$18.7k
Markets traded
1,162
Open portfolio
$79.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,162
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · Yes0.8100.855$52.78+$2.78
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1360.116$21.23−$3.77
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2000.225$5.63+$0.63
Raptors vs. Wizards · Wizards0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$2.00
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-09-20? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
Pistons vs. Heat · Heat0.4700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-06? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Kawhi play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27? · Yes0.0530.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Real Madrid CF vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Pelicans vs. Jazz · Pelicans0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 10:54Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.4099999535$3.00
10-24 10:54Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?BUY0.2699999784$3.00
10-24 10:54Will Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-24 10:53Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.5$5.00
10-24 10:53Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.6799999547$3.00
10-24 10:53Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24?BUY0.6$3.00
10-23 15:11Grizzlies vs. WarriorsBUY0.3899999337$1.00
10-23 15:11Pelicans vs. JazzBUY0.5099998215$1.00
10-23 15:11Rockets vs. SpursBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-23 15:10Pistons vs. HeatBUY0.4699999796$3.00
10-23 15:10Timberwolves vs. MagicBUY0.5$5.00
10-23 15:10Knicks vs. CelticsBUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-23 15:10Raptors vs. WizardsBUY0.2599999896$2.00
10-23 15:09Bulls vs. BucksBUY0.5299999868$2.00
10-23 15:07Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?BUY0.25$1.00