DanielWiest
0x4d58ddf2a558c0da65dc1230c0627968538fa321
- Realised P&L
- $-94.81
- Volume
- $18.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,162
- Open portfolio
- $79.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,162
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$168.30at 0.709Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$96.88at 0.264Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
- +$73.14at 0.852Will another player lead the NBA in Rebounds?
- +$48.03at 0.347Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
- +$47.30at 0.953Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 10:54 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 10:54 | Will Manchester United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 10:54 | Will Hull City AFC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 10:53 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-24 10:53 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6799999547 | $3.00 |
| 10-24 10:53 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-24? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 15:11 | Grizzlies vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 15:11 | Pelicans vs. Jazz | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 15:11 | Rockets vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 15:10 | Pistons vs. Heat | BUY | 0.4699999796 | $3.00 |
| 10-23 15:10 | Timberwolves vs. Magic | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 15:10 | Knicks vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 15:10 | Raptors vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 15:09 | Bulls vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 10-23 15:07 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |