PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D534c13AA65624516a7035F170017C102177536-1768012802560

0x4d534c13aa65624516a7035f170017c102177536

Realised P&L
$-514.68
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$396.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? · No0.8500.963$192.50+$22.50
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8500.945$189.00+$19.00
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2200.055$14.85$44.55
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs · Top Esports0.2000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? · No0.6050.000$0.00$589.49
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs · T10.8600.000$0.00$43.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 00:22Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.21$41.99
03-09 06:01Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.5809962766$29.38
02-21 04:16Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.85$170.00
02-15 10:20LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsSELL0.52$26.00
02-15 04:08Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.002$0.42
02-15 03:57LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup PlayoffsBUY0.86$86.00
02-10 02:15Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.023$0.56
01-31 08:41Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?SELL0.001$0.20
01-28 07:24Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027?BUY0.22$59.40
01-15 01:24Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.54$8.70
01-15 01:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.54$13.50
01-15 01:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.54$5.10