PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D520DC616a7744C9CEfD9740146705B43E49194-1783087506972

0x4d520dc616a7744c9cefd9740146705b43e49194

Realised P&L
$-71.17
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$18.94

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1500.119$18.94$4.94
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$5.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 17:57Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.1009999729$3.19
07-27 17:57Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.101999967$2.66
07-27 17:57Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?BUY0.167999951$2.66
07-24 19:45Will Meta (META) close above $600 on July 24?BUY0.33$1.65
07-24 14:11Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?BUY0.4409999557$4.63
07-22 10:46Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?SELL0.56$6.58
07-22 09:31Over $40M committed to the RipCars public sale?BUY0.3699999702$4.35
07-20 21:12Will there be no next Culture Secretary of the UK in 2026?BUY0.25$5.35
07-17 01:24Will Trump's Speech to the Nation be between 25 and 30 minutes long?BUY0.5499999489$3.23
07-16 22:45Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?BUY0.5$3.26
07-13 14:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.25$3.32
07-13 14:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.1699999704$4.13
07-13 14:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.25$2.38
07-13 14:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.25$1.25
07-13 14:17Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?BUY0.25$2.91