KingOfbets2010
0x4d48c6a6978ff842449ca67bd73a3b4f5b639e76
- Realised P&L
- $889.05
- Volume
- $8.1k
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $518.13
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$615.16at 0.202Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$337.01at 0.129Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the February decision?
- +$49.05at 0.455Will Solana reach $100 in March?
- +$46.21at 0.602Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$21.18at 0.706Will Solana reach $110 in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:21 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4729999996 | $150.00 |
| 09-15 21:17 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999996 | $125.00 |
| 09-15 09:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $149.15 |
| 09-09 16:35 | Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4499999964 | $50.00 |
| 09-09 16:33 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $100.00 |
| 09-05 18:21 | Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 16:16 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 13:08 | Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1945020747 | $150.00 |
| 05-18 18:53 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 05-18 18:52 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.8999999595 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 18:53 | Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.7235979677 | $50.00 |
| 03-27 10:55 | Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | BUY | 0.8889999991 | $20.00 |
| 03-27 10:14 | Will Solana dip to $70 in March? | BUY | 0.9249999981 | $25.00 |
| 03-27 10:09 | Will Solana dip to $80 in March? | BUY | 0.5625038707 | $40.00 |
| 03-27 10:08 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | BUY | 0.586999998 | $11.00 |