deftker
0x4d4815122c826e1ca6bc5d63f36e3b3a0c5c66ab
- Realised P&L
- $-7.6k
- Volume
- $944.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,012
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,012
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.596Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?
- +$2.5kat 0.751Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$2.4kat 0.646Magic vs. Warriors
- +$2.1kat 0.878Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$2.1kat 0.400Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 14:36 | Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $310.00 |
| 10-15 14:35 | Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.88 | $800.00 |
| 10-15 07:39 | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.7932704997 | $1.0k |
| 10-14 16:04 | Feyenoord Rotterdam vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.8399999999 | $282.00 |
| 10-14 15:44 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.96 | $200.00 |
| 10-14 15:43 | Wuhan Tennis Open: Han Shi vs Leylah Fernandez | BUY | 0.96 | $400.00 |
| 10-14 08:25 | Will Vissel Kobe win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.6099999999 | $160.00 |
| 10-13 10:39 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7599999995 | $670.00 |
| 10-13 05:48 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.8 | $400.00 |
| 10-13 05:47 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-13? | BUY | 0.7699999999 | $650.00 |
| 10-13 05:17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.9675753312 | $500.00 |
| 10-13 05:17 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov | BUY | 0.9650590672 | $200.00 |
| 10-12 20:19 | Spread: Rams (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5699999998 | $232.00 |
| 10-12 15:26 | Torino FC vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5199999999 | $300.00 |
| 10-12 15:14 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.982 | $59.07 |