rosset88
0x4d44d47157722dbe0c641a929ed444789f61868a
- Realised P&L
- $25.57
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $9.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration98.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.037 | $7.58 | +$0.87 |
| Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $1.65 | +$0.55 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.16 |
| Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.83at 0.049Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 14?
- +$1.33at 0.023Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.37at 0.007Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.90at 0.004Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.05at 0.052Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 01:57 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.0381254379 | $31.99 |
| 09-09 13:34 | Will Robert Pattinson win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0819999999 | $5.28 |
| 08-22 07:49 | Will Fulham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.10 |
| 08-22 07:49 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.20 |
| 08-20 00:36 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.018 | $0.08 |
| 08-17 04:48 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0682427492 | $1.40 |
| 08-17 04:00 | Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0571839021 | $1.50 |
| 08-17 03:59 | Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid? | SELL | 0.2748115942 | $3.03 |
| 08-17 03:58 | Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.36 |
| 08-13 08:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 08:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 08:17 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 43°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.0022555441 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or below on August 13? | BUY | 0.0020283359 | $1.00 |
| 08-13 08:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on August 13? | BUY | 0.0045801527 | $1.00 |