PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MarceloNatalino

0x4d423945317c616becbd6467246c6f1f65915b10

Realised P&L
$-545.78
Volume
$56.4k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$484.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.1650.225$484.01+$128.89
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$221.14
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$51.90
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$17.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 13:33Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.2831900564$91.14
09-10 18:49Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.2199999998$73.42
09-07 21:39Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.1281175024$179.04
09-07 21:24Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?BUY0.1174162314$11.52
09-07 21:16Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.013$12.19
08-27 17:55Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0344101099$32.26
08-27 17:50Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$34.31
08-19 01:01Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0106880141$87.28
08-05 03:04Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0179999906$1.85
08-05 03:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.259$0.22
08-05 03:00Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.020027597$177.99
07-03 13:36Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.06$93.00
07-03 13:21Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999984$34.43
07-03 13:20Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?SELL0.038$36.03
07-03 13:20Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999994$93.71