PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

slobber

0x4d417fb3c36b435dd5ba5f038c42ca70890b6aca

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$714.0k
Markets traded
141
Open portfolio
$10.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded141
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1% and 2%? · Yes0.3510.861$2.9k+$1.7k
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5590.585$2.6k+$115.12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3180.255$1.6k−$383.31
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2940.305$1.6k+$54.66
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.1570.155$886.75−$13.25
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? · No0.3940.285$216.79−$83.21
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3450.295$213.93−$36.07
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0940.013$26.53−$173.47
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0470.015$9.29−$20.71
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.1800.007$8.33−$191.67
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00−$196.95
Will Sian Astley win the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$372.00
Will Leeds United FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$183.00
Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$500.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:11Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.2599999999$479.00
11-01 14:50Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?BUY0.2899999999$584.00
10-31 21:36Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?BUY0.5498583467$873.00
10-31 21:09Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?SELL0.7$3.8k
10-31 17:26Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.5899999999$1.3k
10-31 16:47Will Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?BUY0.79$1.9k
10-31 15:55Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.3799999999$947.00
10-31 15:54Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.68$3.3k
10-31 15:52Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?SELL0.11$179.41
10-31 15:51Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?SELL0.070292055$197.36
10-31 15:14Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?SELL0.3549399395$253.53
10-31 14:04Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.46$2.5k
10-31 14:03Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?BUY0.29$473.00
10-31 14:02Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.26$730.00
10-31 14:02Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.2099999999$250.00