slobber
0x4d417fb3c36b435dd5ba5f038c42ca70890b6aca
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $714.0k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $10.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.4kat 0.618Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$4.6kat 0.600Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$3.4kat 0.657Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.511Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$2.9kat 0.505Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:11 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2599999999 | $479.00 |
| 11-01 14:50 | Will Liverpool FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899999999 | $584.00 |
| 10-31 21:36 | Will Aston Villa FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5498583467 | $873.00 |
| 10-31 21:09 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.7 | $3.8k |
| 10-31 17:26 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 16:47 | Will Hull City AFC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 15:55 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.3799999999 | $947.00 |
| 10-31 15:54 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.3k |
| 10-31 15:52 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.11 | $179.41 |
| 10-31 15:51 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.070292055 | $197.36 |
| 10-31 15:14 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? | SELL | 0.3549399395 | $253.53 |
| 10-31 14:04 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.5k |
| 10-31 14:03 | Will Coventry City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29 | $473.00 |
| 10-31 14:02 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.26 | $730.00 |
| 10-31 14:02 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $250.00 |