Kalinousky
0x4d3dcd69cf4a31dbfe394ef6080b743904ea7b13
- Realised P&L
- $-242.08
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $346.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: SU Esports vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C · SU Esports | 0.610 | 0.595 | $297.50 | −$7.50 |
| Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? · No | 0.460 | 0.465 | $49.18 | +$0.53 |
| Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card) · Callum Connor | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$63.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.75at 0.599Penguins vs. Golden Knights
- +$15.96at 0.430Thunder vs. Celtics
- +$15.07at 0.440Pacers vs. Wizards
- +$13.66at 0.480Hawks vs. Bucks
- +$9.63at 0.495Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:23 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.35 | $385.00 |
| 09-23 13:21 | Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.36 | $396.00 |
| 09-22 15:34 | Dana White's Contender Series: Callum Connor vs. Piero Guaylupo (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.49 | $63.70 |
| 03-25 10:36 | Thunder vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.43 | $12.04 |
| 03-24 18:58 | Avalanche vs. Penguins | BUY | 0.4 | $17.60 |
| 03-24 18:10 | Kraken vs. Panthers | BUY | 0.4699999942 | $21.73 |
| 03-12 17:01 | Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.489143681 | $42.67 |
| 03-12 13:48 | Penguins vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.5990000202 | $26.51 |
| 03-06 10:58 | Knicks vs. Nuggets | BUY | 0.4899999986 | $13.84 |
| 03-05 09:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.4949999754 | $9.44 |
| 03-04 18:13 | Maple Leafs vs. Devils | BUY | 0.4899999728 | $8.64 |
| 03-04 17:41 | Maple Leafs vs. Devils | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $8.98 |
| 03-04 17:09 | Hawks vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.4799999863 | $12.61 |
| 03-04 11:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.4199999461 | $4.05 |
| 03-03 17:30 | Golden Knights vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.4399999633 | $3.36 |