PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4d39D56bbecfDF89d642eD117cCE12F46f2dc90a-1762683374517

0x4d39d56bbecfdf89d642ed117cce12f46f2dc90a

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$557.1k
Markets traded
1,197
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,197
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will San Marino win 2026-27 Nations League Group C1? · No0.8250.999$1.1k+$195.43
Will FC Flora be relegated from the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · No0.9660.970$344.35+$1.25
Will Valur Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · No0.8680.989$323.60+$39.45
Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · No0.9850.970$316.36−$5.14
Will Al-Ittihad be relegated from the 2026-27 Saudi Professional League? · No0.8010.967$309.44+$52.94
Will Neftchi Fergana be relegated from the 2026 Uzbekistan Super League? · No0.9000.994$304.56+$28.66
Will Stjarnan be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · No0.9450.968$258.46+$6.03
Will ÍA Akranes be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · No0.9760.993$248.25+$4.25
Will Víkingur Reykjavík win the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · Yes0.9900.995$218.29+$1.10
Will Fram Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · No0.9780.992$163.60+$2.15
Will Víkingur Gøta be relegated from the 2026 Betri deildin (Faroe Islands)? · No0.9620.975$160.79+$2.14
Will El Salvador win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League? · No0.9100.985$148.74+$11.24
Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División? · No0.9210.975$137.47+$7.66
Will NK Olimpija Ljubljana be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovenian PrvaLiga? · No0.8140.900$135.90+$12.98
Will Paide Linnameeskond be relegated from the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)? · No0.9390.968$120.99+$3.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 13:44Will Manchester City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?BUY0.0496448077$15.40
09-24 16:14Will Trinidad and Tobago win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?SELL0.98$4.90
09-24 15:10Will Mushuc Runa be relegated from the 2026 LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador)?BUY0.91$37.31
09-24 14:05Will Burundi win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group I?SELL0.9516845679$77.09
09-24 14:01Will Trinidad and Tobago win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?SELL0.98$9.80
09-24 11:02Will Lesotho win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group A?SELL0.9603259848$449.55
09-24 11:02Will South Sudan win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group B?SELL0.9700272222$314.29
09-23 22:18Will CFR Cluj be relegated from the 2026-27 Romania SuperLiga?BUY0.765$30.68
09-23 22:16Will Dinamo be relegated from the 2026-27 Romania SuperLiga?BUY0.764$15.28
09-23 20:57Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?BUY0.9873456945$157.09
09-23 18:51Will FC Flora be relegated from the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?BUY0.981$164.81
09-23 15:35Will FC Flora be relegated from the 2026 Premium Liiga (Estonia)?BUY0.976$81.98
09-22 21:17Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?BUY0.987$41.45
09-22 16:33Will El Salvador win the 2026-27 CONCACAF Nations League?SELL0.98$78.40
09-22 15:06Will KR Reykjavík be relegated from the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)?BUY0.982$122.96