0x4D39cc9AC4e2de2EB9Dc13F083459d74fE1727D6-1772746868939
0x4d39cc9ac4e2de2eb9dc13f083459d74fe1727d6
- Realised P&L
- $3.82
- Volume
- $84.21
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $19.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.435 | $10.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October? · Yes | 0.567 | 0.534 | $9.43 | −$0.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.35at 0.850Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$0.47at 0.954Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 13:59 | Will the Bank of Russia announce no change at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-04 13:55 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in October? | BUY | 0.5669999776 | $10.00 |
| 05-04 23:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.85 | $19.00 |
| 04-01 00:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.47 |
| 03-17 15:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.9539999269 | $10.00 |