PolyBot

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Traders

wing7906

0x4d3945b390d188e354f14c34ee598df9c8ebe6f6

Realised P&L
$141.01
Volume
$26.7k
Markets traded
380
Open portfolio
$0.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded380
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25? · Yes0.0080.001$0.13−$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? · Yes0.2980.001$0.02−$9.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$0.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Down0.5100.000$0.00−$0.51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$0.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET · Up0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.5750.000$0.00−$2.32
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.4900.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 21? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 6? · Yes0.1420.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET · Down0.4440.000$0.00−$1.56
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.54
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 16? · Yes0.0550.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET · Down0.4400.000$0.00−$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 05:31Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25?BUY0.0077231408$1.00
09-24 21:46Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25?BUY0.2985074627$10.00
09-24 01:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?SELL0.0944774084$5.54
09-23 20:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24?BUY0.2557377012$15.00
09-23 04:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?SELL0.09$4.77
09-23 03:34Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?BUY0.096261591$1.97
09-23 01:23Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23?BUY0.0540275046$1.00
09-22 22:00Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23?BUY0.3$9.75
09-21 23:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?SELL0.704818384$19.02
09-21 22:11Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22?BUY0.5558517051$15.00
09-21 00:21Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.5646943099$18.66
09-20 21:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.6051587242$20.00
09-19 02:57Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?SELL0.31$4.57
09-18 23:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?BUY0.4066115582$6.00
09-18 22:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.08$3.13