wing7906
0x4d3945b390d188e354f14c34ee598df9c8ebe6f6
- Realised P&L
- $141.01
- Volume
- $26.7k
- Markets traded
- 380
- Open portfolio
- $0.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded380
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.14at 0.213Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?
- +$30.78at 0.766Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 9?
- +$29.46at 0.174Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?
- +$23.89at 0.278Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 1?
- +$23.81at 0.562Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.0077231408 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 21:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2985074627 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 01:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.0944774084 | $5.54 |
| 09-23 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.2557377012 | $15.00 |
| 09-23 04:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.77 |
| 09-23 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.096261591 | $1.97 |
| 09-23 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.0540275046 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.3 | $9.75 |
| 09-21 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.704818384 | $19.02 |
| 09-21 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.5558517051 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 00:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.5646943099 | $18.66 |
| 09-20 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.6051587242 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 02:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.57 |
| 09-18 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4066115582 | $6.00 |
| 09-18 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.08 | $3.13 |