PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

capetsa

0x4d36c0e0d1d3e9c10d17787272c9fbbf55d552f7

Realised P&L
$12.5k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
5,193
Open portfolio
$204.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,193
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?SELL0.998$4.99
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-10 00:25Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9?SELL0.997$4.99
04-10 00:25Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:42Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?SELL0.994$4.97
04-09 23:42Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.05
04-09 23:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.01
04-09 23:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.05
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.01
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.01
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.04
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.00
Trader capetsa · PolyBot