PolyBot

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Traders

capetsa

0x4d36c0e0d1d3e9c10d17787272c9fbbf55d552f7

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$1.73M
Markets traded
5,193
Open portfolio
$146.44

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,193
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.3830.925$27.75+$16.25
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0000.853$25.57+$25.57
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6780.775$23.25+$2.90
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0080.985$19.69+$19.53
Will Nashville SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0450.226$10.17+$8.15
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0210.033$5.41+$2.03
Will the Democrats win the Colorado Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8900.992$4.96+$0.51
Will the Republican Party win the WI-06 House seat? · Yes0.7900.920$4.60+$0.65
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.5400.850$4.25+$1.55
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes0.9050.977$3.91+$0.29
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5900.545$2.73−$0.23
Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0360.007$1.97−$8.17
Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? · Yes0.7300.355$1.82−$1.92
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.0130.028$1.24+$0.65
Will Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup? · Yes0.1800.165$0.82−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 9?SELL0.998$4.99
04-10 01:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or higher on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-10 00:25Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on April 9?SELL0.997$4.99
04-10 00:25Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 74°F or higher on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:42Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on April 9?SELL0.994$4.97
04-09 23:42Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.05
04-09 23:41Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 9?SELL0.001$0.01
04-09 23:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.01
04-09 23:35Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.05
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.01
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.01
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on April 9?SELL0.01$0.04
04-09 23:34Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on April 9?SELL0.002$0.00