gransaaa
0x4d3079bd4c73bc0e8f7d9f64a9f64fadbd17a42d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.21M
- Volume
- $21.67M
- Markets traded
- 263
- Open portfolio
- $202.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded263
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$214.5kat 0.451Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?
- +$195.5kat 0.511Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$168.2kat 0.538Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
- +$131.7kat 0.462Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$130.0kat 0.614Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-03-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 06:05 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.49 | $1.5k |
| 10-11 06:03 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.0k |
| 10-11 06:02 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.49 | $14.7k |
| 10-11 04:53 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 10-11 04:51 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $6.5k |
| 10-11 04:33 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.529924934 | $26.5k |
| 10-11 04:32 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 10-11 04:32 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 10-11 04:32 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 10-11 04:31 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.0k |
| 10-11 04:31 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 10-11 04:31 | SS Lazio vs. AC Monza: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $8.2k |
| 10-11 04:30 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.47 | $20.4k |
| 10-11 04:30 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.47 | $33.6k |
| 10-11 04:29 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.48 | $11.8k |