UtopianCapitalist
0x4d2f905124bc371eb577560bbf65021a48d945b9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $3.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$373.80at 0.255Will annual inflation increase by between 30% and 32.9% in December?
- +$90.71at 0.181Will monthly inflation be between 2.7% and 2.9% in December?
- +$38.82at 0.340Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?
- +$33.48at 0.330Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?
- +$31.63at 0.365Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1450.00 and 1474.99 on December 31 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:50 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 35% and 39.9%? | BUY | 0.0052546714 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 23:49 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%? | SELL | 0.987 | $1.07 |
| 03-30 23:11 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | BUY | 0.0972752414 | $3.97 |
| 03-30 23:11 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | BUY | 0.1446326118 | $5.00 |
| 03-27 20:06 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 03-17 19:56 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | BUY | 0.3799999468 | $2.00 |
| 03-17 19:54 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | BUY | 0.2429999713 | $5.00 |
| 03-13 19:02 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? | BUY | 0.8459999391 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:02 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 20% and 24.9%? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 03-13 19:01 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%? | BUY | 0.6730768325 | $2.00 |
| 03-13 15:23 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 40% and 44.9%? | BUY | 0.361999982 | $10.00 |
| 03-13 15:23 | Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be at least 45%? | BUY | 0.2603815773 | $10.00 |
| 02-25 10:55 | Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%? | BUY | 0.329999993 | $16.49 |
| 02-05 23:35 | Will monthly inflation be between 2.6% and 2.8% in January? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 01-28 12:56 | Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999912 | $20.00 |