0x4d2d867f42a1a97f8bacc16ea19e72f855a6b9cf
0x4d2d867f42a1a97f8bacc16ea19e72f855a6b9cf
- Realised P&L
- $80.52
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 117
- Open portfolio
- $61.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded117
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $33.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.380 | $27.40 | −$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.21at 0.501Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$36.78at 0.455Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?
- +$25.33at 0.291Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma end in a draw?
- +$21.81at 0.525Will Club Aurora win on 2026-09-11?
- +$21.61at 0.525Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:15 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4299999956 | $31.00 |
| 09-21 11:13 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.68 | $34.00 |
| 09-20 20:36 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.94 | $81.14 |
| 09-20 20:18 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4865248205 | $42.00 |
| 09-19 20:32 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.99 | $37.35 |
| 09-19 19:06 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5299999883 | $20.00 |
| 09-19 15:21 | Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.87 |
| 09-19 15:16 | Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7199999926 | $31.00 |
| 09-19 15:09 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.93 | $38.11 |
| 09-18 18:13 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $25.00 |
| 09-14 20:31 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14? | BUY | 0.6599999966 | $31.19 |
| 09-13 17:34 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | SELL | 0.999 | $68.11 |
| 09-13 15:14 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999899 | $17.87 |
| 09-13 15:13 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $30.00 |
| 09-13 12:44 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $22.03 |