PolyBot

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Traders

0x4d2d867f42a1a97f8bacc16ea19e72f855a6b9cf

0x4d2d867f42a1a97f8bacc16ea19e72f855a6b9cf

Realised P&L
$80.52
Volume
$6.5k
Markets traded
117
Open portfolio
$61.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded117
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.6800.675$33.75$0.25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes0.4300.380$27.40$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 11:15Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999956$31.00
09-21 11:13Will France win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.68$34.00
09-20 20:36Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?SELL0.94$81.14
09-20 20:18Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4865248205$42.00
09-19 20:32Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.99$37.35
09-19 19:06Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
09-19 15:21Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?SELL0.09$3.87
09-19 15:16Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?BUY0.7199999926$31.00
09-19 15:09Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?SELL0.93$38.11
09-18 18:13Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.6099999934$25.00
09-14 20:31Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?BUY0.6599999966$31.19
09-13 17:34Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$68.11
09-13 15:14Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4499999899$17.87
09-13 15:13Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.4399999947$30.00
09-13 12:44LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsSELL0.999$22.03