PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zdlgrj1

0x4d2d7cbd34886f498093d62e144ad55393cef3a5

Realised P&L
$-1.0k
Volume
$21.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$231.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.3920.195$231.38$233.70
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.6450.000$0.00$200.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.2800.000$0.00$66.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.4100.000$0.00$80.00
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes0.4790.000$0.00$400.36
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$1.1k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 07:51Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2799999978$66.00
07-01 08:08Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026BUY0.798526417$606.74
07-01 08:06Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.95$610.94
06-30 20:24Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.4794705417$400.36
06-30 20:23Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.9463666029$405.73
06-27 05:28Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?BUY0.3919569933$465.08
06-16 13:57Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9329999992$1000.00
06-09 01:54Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?BUY0.5962904842$800.00
06-09 01:54Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.932$941.32
06-02 18:08Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6449999996$200.00
05-28 03:18Thunder vs. SpursBUY0.4099999974$80.00
05-21 00:13Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.7$199.80
04-09 07:09Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?SELL0.0402399932$130.77
02-25 23:08Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.0644116814$80.00
02-25 23:07Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.056$0.44