zdlgrj1
0x4d2d7cbd34886f498093d62e144ad55393cef3a5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $231.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.195 | $231.38 | −$233.70 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$400.36 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$531.94at 0.604Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
- +$148.20at 0.805Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
- +$120.00at 0.920Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$83.83at 0.706Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$53.03at 0.933Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 07:51 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $66.00 |
| 07-01 08:08 | Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.798526417 | $606.74 |
| 07-01 08:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.95 | $610.94 |
| 06-30 20:24 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4794705417 | $400.36 |
| 06-30 20:23 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9463666029 | $405.73 |
| 06-27 05:28 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.3919569933 | $465.08 |
| 06-16 13:57 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9329999992 | $1000.00 |
| 06-09 01:54 | Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.5962904842 | $800.00 |
| 06-09 01:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.932 | $941.32 |
| 06-02 18:08 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6449999996 | $200.00 |
| 05-28 03:18 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4099999974 | $80.00 |
| 05-21 00:13 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.7 | $199.80 |
| 04-09 07:09 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.0402399932 | $130.77 |
| 02-25 23:08 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.0644116814 | $80.00 |
| 02-25 23:07 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.056 | $0.44 |