Newstart888
0x4d2d6d4e5f6a3605149bd8f79b56bb64216fb1e3
- Realised P&L
- $8.9k
- Volume
- $324.1k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $907.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · G2 Esports | 0.430 | 0.385 | $384.99 | −$45.00 |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage · Karmine Corp | 0.330 | 0.335 | $334.99 | +$5.00 |
| Spread: Shanghai Sharks (-8.5) · Shanghai Sharks | 0.490 | 1.000 | $99.90 | +$50.93 |
| Valorant: Team Liquid Brazil vs Gentle Mates GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Championship Playoffs · Gentle Mates GC | 0.370 | 0.375 | $87.57 | +$1.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.500Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?
- +$3.8kat 0.190Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A
- +$3.2kat 0.376Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
- +$3.0kat 0.450Suns vs. Bulls
- +$2.5kat 0.281Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:08 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.53 | $53.10 |
| 10-17 20:09 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 10-17 20:08 | Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.027 | $8.10 |
| 10-17 13:52 | Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.05 | $3.50 |
| 10-16 20:52 | Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs FURIA Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $160.00 |
| 10-16 17:51 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5) | BUY | 0.27 | $47.41 |
| 10-16 04:00 | Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 10-15 23:48 | Raptors vs. Knicks | SELL | 0.44 | $147.33 |
| 10-15 23:42 | Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-15 22:30 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In | BUY | 0.45 | $45.00 |
| 10-15 20:03 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship Group B | BUY | 0.34 | $60.17 |
| 10-15 19:52 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 19:36 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | SELL | 0.86 | $1.5k |
| 10-15 19:14 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.43 | $1.1k |
| 10-15 11:25 | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner | SELL | 0.9062543462 | $2.4k |