PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4d2Ae3d603f8877f8867A1DF50D9c39d2eB4C675-1762594299619

0x4d2ae3d603f8877f8867a1df50d9c39d2eb4c675

Realised P&L
$26.32
Volume
$1.5k
Markets traded
28
Open portfolio
$114.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded28
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.9740.964$44.51−$0.49
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? · Yes0.9390.905$42.33−$1.57
Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election? · Yes0.9800.688$28.08−$11.92
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? · Yes0.9100.000$0.00−$50.00
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca · Joao Fonseca0.6120.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00−$19.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 19:32Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?BUY0.9385013906$43.90
09-25 19:31Will MLSTP win the most seats in the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe parliamentary election?BUY0.9795102445$40.00
08-30 08:44Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?BUY0.9739999785$45.00
08-30 08:41Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.55$17.46
08-25 18:53Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.8174668674$23.00
08-25 18:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6299999915$20.00
08-25 18:22Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7199999995$60.00
06-18 06:32Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.88$15.00
06-18 06:31Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8899999983$16.00
06-17 19:11Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7099999756$25.00
06-16 22:01Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.8099999977$50.00
06-16 16:08Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6799999937$30.00
06-15 15:57Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.9099999993$50.00
06-14 17:03Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.945$15.00
06-11 18:25Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999952$20.00