PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

HLHJLKN

0x4d261b45c346e43ca2317df743bb8e4d94559466

Realised P&L
$-2.5k
Volume
$17.3k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$21.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-14.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.9420.994$19.87+$1.03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.0700.065$0.97$0.07
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0310.011$0.42$0.82
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 4? · No0.2800.000$0.00$10.92
Will Trump remove tariff on Mexico before May? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00$7.38
US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$1.97
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$18.72
Islanders vs. Capitals · Capitals0.6800.000$0.00$306.00
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series? · No0.7500.000$0.00$37.50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on July 23? · No0.2700.000$0.00$9.45
Old Dominion vs. South Florida · South Florida0.5800.000$0.00$1.2k
Wizards vs. Thunder · Wizards0.1100.000$0.00$165.00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$5.80
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? · No0.9790.000$0.00$78.32
Ethereum above $4600 on August 29? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$16.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 13:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.07$1.05
08-27 13:10Will Russia capture Havrylivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.031$1.24
07-30 13:25Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?BUY0.942$18.84
07-02 13:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?BUY0.93$9.30
06-21 09:28Israel closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.957$9.57
05-30 14:32Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?BUY0.987$9.87
05-09 14:17US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?BUY0.025$1.00
05-09 14:16US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?BUY0.024$0.97
04-14 13:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?BUY0.984$6.88
03-17 14:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY0.972$14.58
02-24 10:24Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.979$78.32
02-03 13:46Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.09$18.72
01-08 13:09Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.93$74.40
12-17 14:50Old Dominion vs. South FloridaBUY0.58$1.2k
12-17 14:31Hurricanes vs. PredatorsBUY0.64$640.00