PolyBot

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Traders

0x4d215a1c3abbf2b3ff87460396b5e205b14072bb

0x4d215a1c3abbf2b3ff87460396b5e205b14072bb

Realised P&L
$10.07
Volume
$485.76
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$10.21

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? · No0.7100.935$1.32+$0.32
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? · Yes0.3200.420$1.31+$0.31
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September? · No0.3700.455$1.23+$0.23
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No0.6900.835$1.21+$0.21
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September? · Yes0.3700.435$1.18+$0.18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes0.3700.385$1.04+$0.04
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%? · No0.5900.585$0.99−$0.01
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? · No0.6800.665$0.98−$0.02
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No0.7800.745$0.96−$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 22:45Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-11 14:36Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 67% to 68%?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
10-11 06:27Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.20 and $2.30 in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 21:52Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.32$1.00
10-10 13:37Will annual inflation be 3.7% in September?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 04:06Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?BUY0.78$1.00
10-09 19:09Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-09 11:03Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.7989999696$1.00
10-09 03:03S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?BUY0.2599999896$1.00
10-08 19:03Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-08 09:59Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
10-08 01:37Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-07 14:36Will Corpus Christi FC win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.649999805$1.00
10-07 14:00SC Internacional vs. SC Corinthians Paulista: O/U 2.5BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-06 15:42Will FC Supra Du Quebec win on 2026-10-07?BUY0.64$1.00