Horde-man
0x4d2106c4d239ea4e4d0d135bc5b2057a64b62c72
- Realised P&L
- $-283.86
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,178
- Open portfolio
- $1.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,178
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$88.21at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$49.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$36.01at 0.161Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
- +$32.86at 0.207Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$32.44at 0.158Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:40 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 03:02 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 02:16 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 01:22 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:23 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 23:52 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 04:30 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 14.5 | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 03:49 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 03:34 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5 | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 02:19 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:58 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5 | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 01:52 | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 01:12 | New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 00:55 | Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |