EVpm3
0x4d1f0c600dd33be59c2f27ba2d9e6827ac1a6465
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $664.8k
- Markets traded
- 11,478
- Open portfolio
- $9.59
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11,478
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.570 | $5.02 | +$0.44 |
| Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.037 | $3.58 | −$7.88 |
| Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award? · No | 0.376 | 0.037 | $0.96 | −$8.78 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.277 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$16.59 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.72 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$217.89at 0.050Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$189.62at 0.611Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$101.47at 0.430Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$99.52at 0.671Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$49.83at 0.821Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 10-26 17:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 10-26 13:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-26 12:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 10-26 12:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 10-26 08:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $8.91 |
| 10-26 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $22.77 |
| 10-26 08:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $22.77 |
| 10-26 06:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $6.93 |
| 10-26 06:14 | Solana Up or Down - October 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-26 03:59 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on October 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.18 |
| 10-26 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 10-26 02:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $16.83 |
| 10-26 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $5.94 |
| 10-26 01:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on October 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.20 |