PolyBot

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Traders

Elizafdc

0x4d1804634e8a9522a467bde1a86bb206b9158d1a

Realised P&L
$-17.45
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$6.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20? · No0.9950.995$6.89$0.00
Suns vs. 76ers · 76ers0.5100.000$0.00$14.10
Trail Blazers vs. Bulls · Bulls0.3900.000$0.00$1.80
Pelicans vs. Pacers · Pelicans0.4200.000$0.00$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 02:38Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 September 14-20?BUY0.995$6.89
07-30 05:58Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.998$7.99
07-17 03:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 17?BUY0.999$7.65
06-30 08:08Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?BUY0.9919998667$5.12
06-10 08:58Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?BUY0.999$7.36
05-25 06:08Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?BUY0.999$5.33
04-15 07:19Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?BUY0.9969999998$8.53
04-01 07:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 1?BUY0.998$7.77
04-01 07:54Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.993$8.76
02-28 02:27Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9909999995$8.75
02-26 02:25Trail Blazers vs. BullsBUY0.3899999198$1.80
01-22 07:25Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.989$267.00
01-22 05:08Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.991$267.55
01-22 05:06Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$278.46
01-22 01:48Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$278.75