Iskatel
0x4d16ce7bfd2c470cd5032861a5a88142a78b21c7
- Realised P&L
- $10.46
- Volume
- $521.48
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $12.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.955 | $12.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.82at 0.520Will Ethereum reach $2,750 in November?
- +$2.46at 0.830Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
- +$2.42at 0.807Linea airdrop in Q2 2025?
- +$1.95at 0.782Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
- +$1.05at 0.830Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:24 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $12.00 |
| 06-04 04:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.955 | $15.00 |
| 04-27 16:03 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9819999381 | $12.00 |
| 03-06 03:19 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.966999977 | $11.00 |
| 12-18 02:21 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.9839999739 | $16.00 |
| 11-04 23:38 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $10.30 |
| 11-04 23:32 | Maduro out in 2025? | SELL | 0.81 | $6.25 |
| 10-18 17:52 | Maduro out in 2025? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.17 |
| 10-04 13:03 | Will Arsenal win on 2025-10-04? | BUY | 0.8299999044 | $5.12 |
| 09-22 00:32 | Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31? | BUY | 0.8299999377 | $12.00 |
| 07-22 20:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July? | BUY | 0.9789999996 | $16.77 |
| 07-11 20:38 | Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | BUY | 0.75 | $11.00 |
| 06-26 19:38 | Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | BUY | 0.9879999995 | $15.00 |
| 06-26 19:34 | Linea airdrop in Q2 2025? | SELL | 0.9432247191 | $16.79 |
| 05-31 15:31 | Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.69 |