yulana
0x4d15dbe97d92be5a8e5fd01d92f08955e414e9de
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $42.3k
- Markets traded
- 141
- Open portfolio
- $422.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded141
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-10-06? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.875 | $262.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.195 | $78.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.120 | 0.675 | $33.75 | +$27.75 |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.920 | 0.960 | $28.80 | +$1.20 |
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.986 | $19.71 | +$0.09 |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.00 |
| VCU Rams vs. Illinois Fighting Illini · VCU Rams | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies · Grizzlies | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.00 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group · KT Rolster | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.00 |
| Nets vs. Magic · Nets | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.00 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
| Lakers vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.795 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$238.58 |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs · FaZe | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.50 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$258.00 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$428.19at 0.144Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?
- +$328.00at 0.180Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?
- +$162.77at 0.457Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$135.76at 0.547New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$125.00at 0.750Mavericks vs. Pelicans
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:09 | Will England win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.88 | $264.00 |
| 10-05 13:04 | Will Romania win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.22 | $88.00 |
| 10-03 08:37 | San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.65 | $162.50 |
| 10-01 13:35 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $27.60 |
| 09-27 11:18 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 09-22 12:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $19.88 |
| 09-19 13:25 | Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.78 | $117.00 |
| 09-19 13:20 | Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.2 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 14:35 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.92 | $184.00 |
| 09-13 10:01 | Will Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.76 | $150.36 |
| 09-10 14:26 | Will Como 1907 vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 09-07 13:50 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.2 | $70.00 |
| 09-06 09:29 | Will Everton FC win on 2026-09-06? | BUY | 0.74 | $185.00 |
| 09-04 14:08 | Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? | BUY | 0.981 | $19.62 |
| 09-01 13:36 | Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $26.70 |