PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

newbiereal

0x4d14310a56703c8bd7076f0474f854149fddc5c2

Realised P&L
$-12.3k
Volume
$337.6k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0760.040$1.1k$1.0k
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0350.017$846.89$928.45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? · No0.3010.000$0.00$5.6k
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · Yes0.3850.000$0.00$7.6k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-22 04:12Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.26$1.5k
07-08 18:44Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.2330500279$3.4k
06-02 01:13Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0701649701$1.1k
06-02 01:12Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.1752143186$1000.00
05-31 08:17Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0850726277$987.19
05-31 08:16Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0684189501$1.0k
05-31 08:15Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0465786089$576.88
05-31 08:15Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0304297886$423.12
05-26 22:13Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.028923816$561.56
05-26 22:13Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0380407318$213.86
05-14 14:04New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.10369139$1.6k
05-14 14:04New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.09$48.36
05-14 14:04Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.0736085419$5.5k
05-10 14:38New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1371717133$2.1k
05-10 14:38Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0671008985$5.0k