0x4D132321bf5eae37751AE10C3EF05aF7Ab4242Ee-1745877828579
0x4d132321bf5eae37751ae10c3ef05af7ab4242ee
- Realised P&L
- $-657.45
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.230 | $14.91 | +$2.94 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$62.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-101.75at 0.288Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
- +$-114.18at 0.026Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$-379.43at 0.133Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 03:03 | Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.2 | $8.96 |
| 03-01 03:23 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.002 | $9.31 |
| 03-01 00:21 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.026 | $99.86 |
| 02-28 23:03 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.029 | $23.63 |
| 04-29 18:59 | Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | BUY | 0.27 | $62.10 |
| 04-29 17:19 | Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.35 |
| 04-29 17:19 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | SELL | 0.0010332555 | $2.96 |
| 04-29 02:02 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.066 | $129.52 |
| 04-29 00:50 | Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | BUY | 0.2771946441 | $78.67 |
| 04-29 00:42 | Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority? | BUY | 0.2878759384 | $102.10 |