PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D132321bf5eae37751AE10C3EF05aF7Ab4242Ee-1745877828579

0x4d132321bf5eae37751ae10c3ef05af7ab4242ee

Realised P&L
$-657.45
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$14.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes0.1840.230$14.91+$2.94
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$62.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:03Will Aaron Gunn win the next Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?BUY0.2$8.96
03-01 03:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.002$9.31
03-01 00:21Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.026$99.86
02-28 23:03Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.029$23.63
04-29 18:59Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?BUY0.27$62.10
04-29 17:19Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?SELL0.001$0.35
04-29 17:19Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?SELL0.0010332555$2.96
04-29 02:02Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.066$129.52
04-29 00:50Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?BUY0.2771946441$78.67
04-29 00:42Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?BUY0.2878759384$102.10