0x4D1109B42742aaC26A81bd2613318240d62Aa662-1768012916693
0x4d1109b42742aac26a81bd2613318240d62aa662
- Realised P&L
- $-26.50
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $11.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.57at 0.690Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
- +$13.83at 0.627Will France win on 2026-07-09?
- +$7.06at 0.741Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$3.75at 0.575Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?
- +$3.27at 0.607Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-30 03:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-16 11:24 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7399999778 | $6.00 |
| 08-08 02:17 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-18 11:51 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 13:59 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 07-08 13:59 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 15:18 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 07-07 15:17 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999798 | $8.00 |
| 07-07 15:17 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $15.00 |
| 07-06 15:41 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 07-06 15:41 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 00:47 | Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 07-04 00:30 | Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 06:49 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 07-03 06:49 | Will France win on 2026-07-04? | BUY | 0.84 | $5.00 |