PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x4D1109B42742aaC26A81bd2613318240d62Aa662-1768012916693

0x4d1109b42742aac26a81bd2613318240d62aa662

Realised P&L
$-26.50
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$11.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)89.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.7200.895$7.46+$1.46
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? · SpaceX0.9700.722$3.72$1.28
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6570.000$0.00$5.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$8.00
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? · Yes0.8500.000$0.00$5.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$5.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? · No0.9400.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6240.000$0.00$16.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · Argentina0.4100.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.4900.000$0.00$5.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-30 03:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999834$5.00
08-16 11:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7399999778$6.00
08-08 02:17Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.6299999811$5.00
07-18 11:51Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999836$5.00
07-08 13:59Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5799999884$8.00
07-08 13:59Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999864$10.00
07-07 15:18Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999756$5.00
07-07 15:17Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999798$8.00
07-07 15:17Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.739999997$15.00
07-06 15:41Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
07-06 15:41Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.7199999654$5.00
07-04 00:47Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
07-04 00:30Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?BUY0.001$5.00
07-03 06:49Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.529999965$5.00
07-03 06:49Will France win on 2026-07-04?BUY0.84$5.00