PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Fredby

0x4d10b91352330ca9e56bcf160c82622a97feea3a

Realised P&L
$117.22
Volume
$44.8k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$132.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9450.950$132.75+$0.75
Solana Up or Down on August 20? · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 18:58Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETBUY0.99$150.00
10-13 17:52Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ETSELL0.992$61.68
10-13 17:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 1PM ETBUY0.949999995$142.00
10-06 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3AM ETBUY0.9612158466$142.00
10-05 13:53Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9AM ETBUY0.9887922838$142.00
09-29 18:36Will AVAX dip to $3 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9446291506$132.00
09-20 07:11Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting?BUY0.999$275.71
09-18 07:45Will Polymarket be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.9989999995$66.90
09-10 08:33Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.999$246.55
09-10 08:33Will the Moderate Party (M) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.9989999796$28.59
09-09 05:18Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C or higher on September 9?BUY0.9989999967$232.00
08-24 06:36Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.9969999979$273.67
08-12 09:15Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?BUY0.998$272.22
07-22 12:38Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.9959999993$231.00
07-09 17:45Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 July 6-12?BUY0.9989999999$272.70